October 30, 2020
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Justin Ledet |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 985 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -31 |
Dustin Jacoby overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Justin Ledet.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Justin Ledet |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Justin Ledet |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:38 | 2:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 031 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +113 | -50 |
Dustin Jacoby earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Justin Ledet |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 041 | 750 |
| ELO Change | +109 | -109 |
Dustin Jacoby dominated the striking exchanges with 22 vs 10 significant strikes, 57.9% vs 32.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Dustin Jacoby capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Justin Ledet |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 932 | 862 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Dustin Jacoby landed 2 knockdowns followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Justin Ledet |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 3 199 | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 982 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -24 |
Dustin Jacoby demonstrated extended layoff with 3199 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Dustin Jacoby capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Ledet's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Justin Ledet |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Dustin Jacoby started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Ledet is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Justin Ledet |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

