October 28, 2022
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 103 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Khalil Rountree Jr.'s 3-fight experience advantage (13 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Khalil Rountree Jr. for the expected result. Had Dustin Jacoby pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 337 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Khalil Rountree Jr. receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 120 | 85 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 255 | 237 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 122 | 88 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 273 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Dustin Jacoby controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (122 vs 88 total strikes), significant strike advantage (120 vs 85), superior accuracy (47.1% vs 35.9%). However, since Dustin Jacoby lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Khalil Rountree Jr.'s positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 079 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 199 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +36 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Khalil Rountree Jr. capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Jacoby's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 087 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +33 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Jacoby is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 059 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

