February 26, 2021
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 020 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 079 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Dustin Jacoby earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 66 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 137 | 156 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 061 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Maxim Grishin controlled the striking through superior volume (80 vs 60 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (66 vs 57), 2 knockdowns. However, since Maxim Grishin lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dustin Jacoby's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:48 | 1:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 958 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Dustin Jacoby did not secure a significant ground advantage against Maxim Grishin on the ground with 0:48 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 043 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -25 |
Dustin Jacoby demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Jacoby capitalized on this activity level, while Maxim Grishin's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 012 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Dustin Jacoby extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maxim Grishin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

