December 14, 2024
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 098 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Dustin Jacoby's 9-fight experience advantage (15 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Jacoby for the expected result. Had Vitor Petrino pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:44 | 3:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 365 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -31 |
Dustin Jacoby gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 96 | 96 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 150 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +104 | -104 |
Dustin Jacoby controlled the striking exchanges with 45 vs 40 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dustin Jacoby capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 0:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 080 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Dustin Jacoby landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 201 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Dustin Jacoby demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Jacoby capitalized on this activity level, while Vitor Petrino's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Dustin Jacoby started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vitor Petrino is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Jacoby | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.