September 20, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Kimura | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dustin Kimura | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Kimura | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:05 | 4:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 028 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +71 |
Mitch Gagnon earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:05, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Dustin Kimura | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 992 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Mitch Gagnon edged the striking exchanges with 27 vs 15 significant strikes, 47.4% vs 34.1% accuracy. Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Kimura | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 0:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 923 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -127 | +127 |
Mitch Gagnon dominated Dustin Kimura on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:41 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dustin Kimura | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 1 002 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Mitch Gagnon demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Kimura's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Kimura | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Mitch Gagnon extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Kimura is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Kimura | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.