August 4, 2017
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Dustin Ortiz's 7-fight experience advantage (11 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Ortiz for the expected result. Had Hector Sandoval pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:15 | 0:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 224 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +185 | -51 |
Dustin Ortiz achieved an EXPLOSIVE KO/TKO finish in just 0:15 of round 1! This lightning-fast destruction earned massive bonus multipliers for the exceptional finish.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 223 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +136 | -136 |
Dustin Ortiz controlled the striking exchanges with 8 vs 1 significant strikes, 80.0% vs 16.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dustin Ortiz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 155 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -18 |
Dustin Ortiz demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Ortiz capitalized on this activity level, while Hector Sandoval's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 038 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Dustin Ortiz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hector Sandoval is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

