November 21, 2014
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 060 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Joseph Benavidez's 5-fight experience advantage (10 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joseph Benavidez for the expected result. Had Dustin Ortiz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 064 | 1 276 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Joseph Benavidez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 94 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 149 | 199 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 104 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Joseph Benavidez controlled the striking exchanges with 96 vs 59 total strikes, 94 vs 37 significant strikes, 47.2% vs 24.8% accuracy. Joseph Benavidez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 2:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 088 | 1 241 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Joseph Benavidez controlled Dustin Ortiz on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:27 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 100 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Joseph Benavidez demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Joseph Benavidez capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Ortiz's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 033 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +21 |
Joseph Benavidez extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Ortiz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

