September 23, 2016
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 064 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Jussier Formiga earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 119 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 124 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Dustin Ortiz controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (119 vs 55 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (13 vs 8). However, since Dustin Ortiz lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jussier Formiga's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:57 | 9:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 005 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Jussier Formiga edged out Dustin Ortiz on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 9:09 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 308 |
| Activity ELO | 1 074 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Jussier Formiga demonstrated standard activity with 308 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jussier Formiga capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Ortiz's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Jussier Formiga started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Ortiz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.