July 5, 2014
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 086 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 087 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dustin Ortiz receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 100 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 139 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Dustin Ortiz dominated the striking exchanges with 100 vs 32 total strikes, 39 vs 24 significant strikes. Dustin Ortiz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:23 | 4:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 152 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Dustin Ortiz controlled Justin Scoggins on the ground with 2 takedowns, 7:23 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 78 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 1 117 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -21 |
Dustin Ortiz demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 78 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Dustin Ortiz capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Scoggins's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Dustin Ortiz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Scoggins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.