Dustin Ortiz vs Matheus Nicolau

Dustin Ortiz's 9-fight experience advantage (13 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Ortiz for the expected result. Had Matheus Nicolau pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Dustin Ortiz earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:49, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Dustin Ortiz controlled the striking exchanges with 18.6% vs 43.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dustin Ortiz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Dustin Ortiz demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Ortiz capitalized on this activity level, while Matheus Nicolau's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Dustin Ortiz extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matheus Nicolau is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.