April 18, 2014
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 056 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Dustin Ortiz's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Ortiz for the expected result. Had Ray Borg pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 075 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dustin Ortiz receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 107 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 090 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Dustin Ortiz dominated the striking exchanges with 107 vs 21 total strikes, 46 vs 12 significant strikes, 57.5% vs 44.4% accuracy. Dustin Ortiz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:23 | 6:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 083 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Dustin Ortiz edged out Ray Borg on the ground with 2 takedowns, 5:23 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 94 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 053 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -21 |
Dustin Ortiz demonstrated solid activity levels with 94 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Ortiz capitalized on this activity level, while Ray Borg's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Dustin Ortiz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ray Borg is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

