Dustin Ortiz vs Ray Borg

April 18, 2014

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1053
(+30)
Dustin Ortiz
Winner: Dustin Ortiz
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dustin Ortiz+30
Ray Borg-26
974
(-26)
Ray Borg

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Ortiz: +29Ray Borg: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin OrtizRay Borg
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 056971
ELO Change+29-29
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What Happened

Dustin Ortiz's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Ortiz for the expected result. Had Ray Borg pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Ortiz: +21Ray Borg: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin OrtizRay Borg
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Ortiz: +8Ray Borg: -8

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin OrtizRay Borg
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 075992
ELO Change+8-8
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dustin Ortiz receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Ortiz: +55Ray Borg: -55

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin OrtizRay Borg
Significant Strikes Landed4612
Significant Strikes Attempted8027
Total Strikes Landed10721
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 090945
ELO Change+55-55
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What Happened

Dustin Ortiz dominated the striking exchanges with 107 vs 21 total strikes, 46 vs 12 significant strikes, 57.5% vs 44.4% accuracy. Dustin Ortiz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Ortiz: +31Ray Borg: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin OrtizRay Borg
Takedowns Landed25
Takedowns Attempted48
Ground Control Time5:236:00
Ground Strikes Landed125
Ground ELO1 083969
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Dustin Ortiz edged out Ray Borg on the ground with 2 takedowns, 5:23 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Ortiz: +52Ray Borg: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin OrtizRay Borg
Days Since Last Fight94N/A
Activity ELO1 053979
ELO Change+52-21
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What Happened

Dustin Ortiz demonstrated solid activity levels with 94 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Ortiz capitalized on this activity level, while Ray Borg's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Ortiz: +23Ray Borg: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin OrtizRay Borg
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 025979
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Dustin Ortiz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ray Borg is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Ortiz: +21Ray Borg: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin OrtizRay Borg
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 020979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.