January 29, 2016
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 053 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 100 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Wilson Reis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 130 | 125 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 153 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Wilson Reis controlled the striking exchanges with 96 vs 64 total strikes. Wilson Reis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 9 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 23 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 6:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 032 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -111 | +111 |
Wilson Reis dominated Dustin Ortiz on the ground with 9 vs 1 takedowns, 6:51 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 246 |
| Activity ELO | 1 096 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +30 |
Wilson Reis demonstrated standard activity with 246 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Wilson Reis capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Ortiz's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Wilson Reis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Ortiz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Ortiz | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.