June 7, 2012
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Jared Papazian |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 010 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Jared Papazian |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Jared Papazian |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:21 | 3:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 033 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -45 |
Dustin Pague earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:21, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Jared Papazian |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 883 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Dustin Pague slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 66.7% vs 41.2% accuracy. Dustin Pague capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Jared Papazian |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:35 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 086 | 837 |
| ELO Change | +140 | -140 |
Dustin Pague dominated Jared Papazian on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:35 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Jared Papazian |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 188 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 005 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Dustin Pague demonstrated standard activity with 188 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Pague capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Papazian's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Jared Papazian |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Dustin Pague started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Papazian is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Jared Papazian |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.