June 21, 2012
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Ken Stone |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 989 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Ken Stone |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Ken Stone |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 022 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Ken Stone receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Ken Stone |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 119 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 88 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 861 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Ken Stone controlled the striking exchanges with 88 vs 47 total strikes, 63 vs 41 significant strikes. Ken Stone capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Ken Stone |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 5:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 054 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Ken Stone edged out Dustin Pague on the ground with 5:06 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Ken Stone |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 14 | 279 |
| Activity ELO | 986 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Ken Stone demonstrated standard activity with 279 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Ken Stone capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Pague's 14-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Ken Stone |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Ken Stone extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Pague is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Ken Stone |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.