October 18, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 847 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Kyoji Horiguchi overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dustin Pague.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 924 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:51 | 3:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 929 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +78 |
Kyoji Horiguchi gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 759 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Kyoji Horiguchi dominated the striking exchanges with 74 vs 18 total strikes, 30 vs 9 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kyoji Horiguchi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:29 | 3:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 900 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Kyoji Horiguchi controlled Dustin Pague on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:53 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 934 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Kyoji Horiguchi demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Kyoji Horiguchi capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Pague's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 926 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +19 |
Kyoji Horiguchi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Pague is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Pague | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 924 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.