Dustin Poirier vs Erik Koch

August 30, 2013

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1120
(+34)
Dustin Poirier
Winner: Dustin Poirier
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dustin Poirier+34
Erik Koch-33
1001
(-33)
Erik Koch

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +28Erik Koch: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierErik Koch
Total UFC Fights84
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 098999
ELO Change+28-28
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What Happened

Dustin Poirier's 4-fight experience advantage (8 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Poirier for the expected result. Had Erik Koch pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +19Erik Koch: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierErik Koch
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0701 003
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +31Erik Koch: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierErik Koch
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2141 061
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Dustin Poirier earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +81Erik Koch: -81

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierErik Koch
Significant Strikes Landed5432
Significant Strikes Attempted9274
Total Strikes Landed7450
Knockdowns Scored20
Striking ELO1 192973
ELO Change+81-81
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What Happened

Dustin Poirier dominated the striking exchanges with 74 vs 50 total strikes, 54 vs 32 significant strikes, 58.7% vs 43.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Dustin Poirier capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +53Erik Koch: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierErik Koch
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted60
Ground Control Time7:313:29
Ground Strikes Landed226
Ground ELO1 092944
ELO Change+53-53
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What Happened

Dustin Poirier controlled Erik Koch on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:31 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +20Erik Koch: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierErik Koch
Days Since Last Fight196217
Activity ELO1 1351 012
ELO Change+20-16
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Poirier capitalized on this activity level, while Erik Koch's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +20Erik Koch: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierErik Koch
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0891 010
ELO Change+20-19
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What Happened

Dustin Poirier started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Erik Koch is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +19Erik Koch: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierErik Koch
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0701 003
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.