February 10, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 26 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 238 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -33 |
Dustin Poirier overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (17 vs 26 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jim Miller.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 145 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 395 | 1 327 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Dustin Poirier earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 97 | 71 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 216 | 135 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 122 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 318 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Dustin Poirier controlled the striking exchanges with 122 vs 83 total strikes, 97 vs 71 significant strikes. Dustin Poirier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:57 | 1:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 278 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Dustin Poirier controlled Jim Miller on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 3:57 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 318 | 1 399 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -31 |
Dustin Poirier demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Poirier capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Miller's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 187 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Dustin Poirier started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 145 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.