September 6, 2019
UFC Lightweight Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 23 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 324 | 1 450 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +46 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dustin Poirier.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 211 | 1 349 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +50 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Khabib Nurmagomedov captured the UFC Lightweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:06 | 2:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 552 | 1 655 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +64 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:06, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Dustin Poirier was submitted.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 462 | 1 594 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov edged the striking exchanges with 54 vs 30 total strikes, 22 vs 12 significant strikes, 53.7% vs 30.8% accuracy. Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 8:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 322 | 1 748 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov dominated Dustin Poirier on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 8:52 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 336 |
| Activity ELO | 1 383 | 1 389 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov demonstrated standard activity with 336 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Poirier's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 12 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 279 | 1 560 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +74 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov extended his incredible 12-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Dustin Poirier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 193 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.