Dustin Poirier vs King Green

June 3, 2016

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1277
(+30)
Dustin Poirier
Winner: Dustin Poirier
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:53

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dustin Poirier+30
King Green-26
1097
(-26)
King Green

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +28King Green: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierKing Green
Total UFC Fights156
Experience Gap9-9
Experience ELO1 2251 128
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier's 9-fight experience advantage (15 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Poirier for the expected result. Had King Green pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +17King Green: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierKing Green
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1511 046
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +40King Green: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierKing Green
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:532:53
Win Type ELO1 4411 157
ELO Change+40-18
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What Happened

Dustin Poirier earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:53, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +67King Green: -67

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierKing Green
Significant Strikes Landed3616
Significant Strikes Attempted6635
Total Strikes Landed3617
Knockdowns Scored20
Striking ELO1 4631 132
ELO Change+67-67
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier dominated the striking exchanges with 36 vs 16 significant strikes, 54.5% vs 45.7% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Dustin Poirier capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +27King Green: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierKing Green
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:160:00
Ground Strikes Landed50
Ground ELO1 3161 077
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier landed 2 knockdowns followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +25King Green: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierKing Green
Days Since Last Fight154560
Activity ELO1 2831 124
ELO Change+25-14
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Poirier capitalized on this activity level, while King Green's 560-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +22King Green: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierKing Green
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 1891 067
ELO Change+22-16
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. King Green is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +17King Green: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierKing Green
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1511 045
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.