April 12, 2019
UFC Interim Lightweight Title Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 351 | 1 369 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Dustin Poirier's 2-fight experience advantage (22 vs 20 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Poirier for the expected result. Had Max Holloway pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 228 | 1 349 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 594 | 1 631 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Dustin Poirier earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 178 | 181 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 381 | 446 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 180 | 208 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 492 | 1 592 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Max Holloway controlled the striking through superior volume (208 vs 180 total strikes). However, since Max Holloway lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dustin Poirier's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:35 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 402 | 1 480 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Dustin Poirier edged out Max Holloway on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:35 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 407 | 1 445 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -27 |
Dustin Poirier demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Poirier capitalized on this activity level, while Max Holloway's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 289 | 1 550 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -37 |
Dustin Poirier extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Max Holloway is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 213 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.