Dustin Poirier vs Michael Johnson

September 16, 2016

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1220
(-57)
Dustin Poirier
Winner: Michael Johnson
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:35

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dustin Poirier-57
Michael Johnson+70
1205
(+70)
Michael Johnson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: -40Michael Johnson: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierMichael Johnson
Total UFC Fights1614
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 1851 171
ELO Change-40+46
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What Happened

Michael Johnson overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dustin Poirier.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: -28Michael Johnson: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierMichael Johnson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1231 067
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: -61Michael Johnson: +146

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierMichael Johnson
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:351:35
Win Type ELO1 3801 418
ELO Change-61+146
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What Happened

Michael Johnson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: -169Michael Johnson: +169

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierMichael Johnson
Significant Strikes Landed614
Significant Strikes Attempted1237
Total Strikes Landed614
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 2941 403
ELO Change-169+169
💡

What Happened

Michael Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 6 significant strikes, 37.8% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Michael Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: -81Michael Johnson: +81

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierMichael Johnson
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:03
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO1 2351 187
ELO Change-81+81
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: -26Michael Johnson: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierMichael Johnson
Days Since Last Fight105273
Activity ELO1 2571 220
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Michael Johnson demonstrated standard activity with 273 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Michael Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Poirier's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: -28Michael Johnson: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierMichael Johnson
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 1611 104
ELO Change-28+30
💡

What Happened

Michael Johnson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Poirier is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: -28Michael Johnson: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierMichael Johnson
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1231 067
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.