November 11, 2011
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 083 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:32 | 1:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 159 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -52 |
Dustin Poirier earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:32, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Pablo Garza was submitted.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 111 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Dustin Poirier slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Dustin Poirier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:55 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 251 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +142 | -142 |
Dustin Poirier dominated Pablo Garza on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:55 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 093 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -21 |
Dustin Poirier demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Poirier capitalized on this activity level, while Pablo Garza's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Dustin Poirier extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pablo Garza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Pablo Garza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.