Dustin Poirier vs Yancy Medeiros

June 5, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1225
(+35)
Dustin Poirier
Winner: Dustin Poirier
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:38

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dustin Poirier+35
Yancy Medeiros-28
1038
(-28)
Yancy Medeiros

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +21Yancy Medeiros: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierYancy Medeiros
Total UFC Fights136
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO1 1731 009
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Poirier for the expected result. Had Yancy Medeiros pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +16Yancy Medeiros: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierYancy Medeiros
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 118999
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +44Yancy Medeiros: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierYancy Medeiros
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:382:38
Win Type ELO1 3851 116
ELO Change+44-20
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What Happened

Dustin Poirier earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +74Yancy Medeiros: -74

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierYancy Medeiros
Significant Strikes Landed276
Significant Strikes Attempted3613
Total Strikes Landed366
Knockdowns Scored20
Striking ELO1 3841 025
ELO Change+74-74
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier dominated the striking exchanges with 36 vs 6 total strikes, 27 vs 6 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 46.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Dustin Poirier capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +50Yancy Medeiros: -50

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierYancy Medeiros
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:001:27
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 2321 078
ELO Change+50-50
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier landed 2 knockdowns followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +41Yancy Medeiros: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierYancy Medeiros
Days Since Last Fight63176
Activity ELO1 2441 064
ELO Change+41-14
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Dustin Poirier capitalized on this activity level, while Yancy Medeiros's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +18Yancy Medeiros: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierYancy Medeiros
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 1481 010
ELO Change+18-15
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What Happened

Dustin Poirier extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yancy Medeiros is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Poirier: +16Yancy Medeiros: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin PoirierYancy Medeiros
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 118999
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.