June 5, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 173 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Dustin Poirier's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Poirier for the expected result. Had Yancy Medeiros pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 118 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:38 | 2:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 385 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -20 |
Dustin Poirier earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 384 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Dustin Poirier dominated the striking exchanges with 36 vs 6 total strikes, 27 vs 6 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 46.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Dustin Poirier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 232 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Dustin Poirier landed 2 knockdowns followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 244 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -14 |
Dustin Poirier demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Dustin Poirier capitalized on this activity level, while Yancy Medeiros's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 148 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -15 |
Dustin Poirier extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yancy Medeiros is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 118 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

