Dustin Stoltzfus vs Kelvin Gastelum

September 13, 2025

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

983
(-16)
Dustin Stoltzfus
Winner: Kelvin Gastelum
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Dustin Stoltzfus-16
Kelvin Gastelum+18
1186
(+18)
Kelvin Gastelum

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -13Kelvin Gastelum: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusKelvin Gastelum
Total UFC Fights1025
Experience Gap-1515
Experience ELO9501 212
ELO Change-13+13
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What Happened

Kelvin Gastelum's 15-fight experience advantage (25 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kelvin Gastelum for the expected result. Had Dustin Stoltzfus pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -14Kelvin Gastelum: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusKelvin Gastelum
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9461 087
ELO Change-14+14
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -17Kelvin Gastelum: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusKelvin Gastelum
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0881 362
ELO Change-17+17
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What Happened

Kelvin Gastelum earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -30Kelvin Gastelum: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusKelvin Gastelum
Significant Strikes Landed6457
Significant Strikes Attempted146117
Total Strikes Landed6958
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9601 182
ELO Change-30+30
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What Happened

Dustin Stoltzfus controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (64 vs 57). However, since Dustin Stoltzfus lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Kelvin Gastelum's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -15Kelvin Gastelum: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusKelvin Gastelum
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted60
Ground Control Time2:000:23
Ground Strikes Landed50
Ground ELO1 0161 156
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

Kelvin Gastelum did not secure a significant ground advantage against Dustin Stoltzfus on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:23 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -9Kelvin Gastelum: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusKelvin Gastelum
Days Since Last Fight11998
Activity ELO1 0011 268
ELO Change-9+21
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What Happened

Kelvin Gastelum demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kelvin Gastelum capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Stoltzfus's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -12Kelvin Gastelum: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusKelvin Gastelum
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9591 141
ELO Change-12+13
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What Happened

Kelvin Gastelum started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Stoltzfus is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -15Kelvin Gastelum: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusKelvin Gastelum
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9451 077
ELO Change-15+15
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.