November 20, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 956 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Kyle Daukaus earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 122 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 95 | 113 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 965 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Kyle Daukaus controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 32 significant strikes. Kyle Daukaus capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:01 | 8:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 915 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Kyle Daukaus controlled Dustin Stoltzfus on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:40 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +44 |
Kyle Daukaus demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kyle Daukaus capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Stoltzfus's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Kyle Daukaus started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Stoltzfus is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.