November 2, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 983 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -37 |
Dustin Stoltzfus overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marc-Andre Barriault.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:28 | 4:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 136 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +130 | -60 |
Dustin Stoltzfus earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:28, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 002 | 811 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -107 |
Dustin Stoltzfus controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 7 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dustin Stoltzfus capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:54 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 061 | 877 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Dustin Stoltzfus landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 029 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -29 |
Dustin Stoltzfus demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Stoltzfus capitalized on this activity level, while Marc-Andre Barriault's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Dustin Stoltzfus started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marc-Andre Barriault is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.