May 17, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 963 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Nursulton Ruziboev overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dustin Stoltzfus.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 105 | 1 262 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Nursulton Ruziboev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 68 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 990 | 1 261 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Nursulton Ruziboev edged the striking exchanges with 35 vs 21 significant strikes. Nursulton Ruziboev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:11 | 3:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 031 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Nursulton Ruziboev edged out Dustin Stoltzfus on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:21 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +58 |
Nursulton Ruziboev demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Nursulton Ruziboev capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Stoltzfus's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 971 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +20 |
Nursulton Ruziboev extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Stoltzfus is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Stoltzfus | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.