Dustin Stoltzfus vs Rodolfo Vieira

July 16, 2021

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

942
(-22)
Dustin Stoltzfus
Winner: Rodolfo Vieira
Submission
Round 3 • 1:54

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dustin Stoltzfus-22
Rodolfo Vieira+25
1071
(+25)
Rodolfo Vieira

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -23Rodolfo Vieira: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusRodolfo Vieira
Total UFC Fights24
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9441 086
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Rodolfo Vieira's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rodolfo Vieira for the expected result. Had Dustin Stoltzfus pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -19Rodolfo Vieira: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusRodolfo Vieira
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9591 035
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -28Rodolfo Vieira: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusRodolfo Vieira
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish1:541:54
Win Type ELO9281 122
ELO Change-28+41
💡

What Happened

Rodolfo Vieira earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:54, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Dustin Stoltzfus was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -21Rodolfo Vieira: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusRodolfo Vieira
Significant Strikes Landed6749
Significant Strikes Attempted19288
Total Strikes Landed8352
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO944989
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Dustin Stoltzfus controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (83 vs 52 total strikes), significant strike advantage (67 vs 49), superior accuracy (34.9% vs 55.7%). However, since Dustin Stoltzfus lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rodolfo Vieira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -32Rodolfo Vieira: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusRodolfo Vieira
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted34
Ground Control Time0:092:10
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO8831 206
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Rodolfo Vieira dominated Dustin Stoltzfus on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:10 of control time, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -18Rodolfo Vieira: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusRodolfo Vieira
Days Since Last Fight238154
Activity ELO9601 055
ELO Change-18+32
💡

What Happened

Rodolfo Vieira demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rodolfo Vieira capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Stoltzfus's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -18Rodolfo Vieira: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusRodolfo Vieira
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9601 043
ELO Change-18+20
💡

What Happened

Rodolfo Vieira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Stoltzfus is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Stoltzfus: -19Rodolfo Vieira: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin StoltzfusRodolfo Vieira
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9591 035
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.