Dwight Grant vs Francisco Trinaldo

October 22, 2021

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1040
(-15)
Dwight Grant
Winner: Francisco Trinaldo
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dwight Grant-15
Francisco Trinaldo+16
1233
(+16)
Francisco Trinaldo

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -20Francisco Trinaldo: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantFrancisco Trinaldo
Total UFC Fights624
Experience Gap-1818
Experience ELO1 0621 231
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo's 18-fight experience advantage (24 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Francisco Trinaldo for the expected result. Had Dwight Grant pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -15Francisco Trinaldo: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantFrancisco Trinaldo
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0111 149
ELO Change-15+15
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -4Francisco Trinaldo: +4

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantFrancisco Trinaldo
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0671 325
ELO Change-4+4
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Francisco Trinaldo receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -12Francisco Trinaldo: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantFrancisco Trinaldo
Significant Strikes Landed3136
Significant Strikes Attempted13370
Total Strikes Landed4161
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9811 228
ELO Change-12+12
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo edged the striking exchanges with 61 vs 41 total strikes, 36 vs 31 significant strikes, 51.4% vs 23.3% accuracy. Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -31Francisco Trinaldo: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantFrancisco Trinaldo
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time0:114:45
Ground Strikes Landed26
Ground ELO1 0031 210
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo edged out Dwight Grant on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:45 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -12Francisco Trinaldo: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantFrancisco Trinaldo
Days Since Last Fight182140
Activity ELO1 1621 356
ELO Change-12+24
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this activity level, while Dwight Grant's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -11Francisco Trinaldo: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantFrancisco Trinaldo
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0251 219
ELO Change-11+13
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dwight Grant is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -15Francisco Trinaldo: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantFrancisco Trinaldo
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0111 149
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.