April 23, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dwight Grant | Stefan Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Dwight Grant's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dwight Grant for the expected result. Had Stefan Sekulic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dwight Grant | Stefan Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dwight Grant | Stefan Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 071 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dwight Grant receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dwight Grant | Stefan Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 156 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 993 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Dwight Grant controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 33 significant strikes, 31.4% vs 63.5% accuracy. Dwight Grant capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dwight Grant | Stefan Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:25 | 2:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 034 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Dwight Grant did not secure a significant ground advantage against Stefan Sekulic on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:25 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Dwight Grant | Stefan Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 952 |
| Activity ELO | 1 174 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -11 |
Dwight Grant demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dwight Grant capitalized on this activity level, while Stefan Sekulic's 952-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dwight Grant | Stefan Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 036 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Dwight Grant started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stefan Sekulic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dwight Grant | Stefan Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 026 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

