Dwight Grant vs Zak Ottow

December 14, 2018

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

979
(-21)
Dwight Grant
Winner: Zak Ottow
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dwight Grant-21
Zak Ottow+23
1053
(+23)
Zak Ottow

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -24Zak Ottow: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantZak Ottow
Total UFC Fights17
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO9761 110
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Zak Ottow's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Zak Ottow for the expected result. Had Dwight Grant pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -21Zak Ottow: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantZak Ottow
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 029
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -8Zak Ottow: +8

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantZak Ottow
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9921 096
ELO Change-8+8
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Zak Ottow receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -23Zak Ottow: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantZak Ottow
Significant Strikes Landed2514
Significant Strikes Attempted8471
Total Strikes Landed3322
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO977988
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Dwight Grant controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (25 vs 14), superior accuracy (29.8% vs 19.7%). However, since Dwight Grant lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Zak Ottow's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -33Zak Ottow: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantZak Ottow
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted16
Ground Control Time0:202:54
Ground Strikes Landed11
Ground ELO9671 030
ELO Change-33+33
💡

What Happened

Zak Ottow edged out Dwight Grant on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:54 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -17Zak Ottow: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantZak Ottow
Days Since Last FightN/A155
Activity ELO9831 101
ELO Change-17+29
💡

What Happened

Zak Ottow demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Zak Ottow capitalized on this activity level, while Dwight Grant's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -20Zak Ottow: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantZak Ottow
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9801 040
ELO Change-20+22
💡

What Happened

Zak Ottow started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dwight Grant is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dwight Grant: -21Zak Ottow: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDwight GrantZak Ottow
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 029
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.