February 15, 2025
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dylan Budka | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 940 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Edmen Shahbazyan's 9-fight experience advantage (12 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Edmen Shahbazyan for the expected result. Had Dylan Budka pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dylan Budka | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 945 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dylan Budka | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:35 | 1:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 922 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +38 |
Edmen Shahbazyan earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Dylan Budka | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 786 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Edmen Shahbazyan controlled the striking exchanges with 7 vs 1 significant strikes, 46.7% vs 6.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Edmen Shahbazyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dylan Budka | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 898 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Dylan Budka | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 954 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +23 |
Edmen Shahbazyan demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Edmen Shahbazyan capitalized on this activity level, while Dylan Budka's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dylan Budka | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 949 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +18 |
Edmen Shahbazyan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dylan Budka is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dylan Budka | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 945 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

