October 15, 1998
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ebenezer Fontes Braga | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ebenezer Fontes Braga | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ebenezer Fontes Braga | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:27 | 3:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 066 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -40 |
Ebenezer Fontes Braga earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Ebenezer Fontes Braga | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 039 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Ebenezer Fontes Braga slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 9 vs 3 significant strikes. Ebenezer Fontes Braga capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ebenezer Fontes Braga | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 108 | 863 |
| ELO Change | +108 | -108 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Ebenezer Fontes Braga | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Ebenezer Fontes Braga demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Ebenezer Fontes Braga capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Horn's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ebenezer Fontes Braga | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Ebenezer Fontes Braga started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Horn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ebenezer Fontes Braga | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.