October 26, 2018
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ed Herman | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +51 |
Gian Villante overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ed Herman.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 202 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Gian Villante receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 84 | 81 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 223 | 217 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 85 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 982 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Ed Herman lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Gian Villante's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 041 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 477 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 111 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +49 |
Gian Villante demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gian Villante capitalized on this activity level, while Ed Herman's 477-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +26 |
Gian Villante started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ed Herman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.