November 16, 2007
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ed Herman | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 016 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -19 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:39 | 0:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 132 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -30 |
Ed Herman gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 74 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 89 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 122 | 819 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Ed Herman dominated the striking exchanges with 89 vs 16 total strikes, 43 vs 9 significant strikes, 58.1% vs 47.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ed Herman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:34 | 1:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 172 | 900 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Ed Herman controlled Joe Doerksen on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 6:34 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 623 |
| Activity ELO | 1 082 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -16 |
Ed Herman demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ed Herman capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Doerksen's 623-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Ed Herman extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Doerksen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

