Ed Herman vs Kyle Noke

August 13, 2011

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1121
(+44)
Ed Herman
Winner: Ed Herman
Submission
Round 1 • 4:15

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ed Herman+44
Kyle Noke-34
1095
(-34)
Kyle Noke

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +38Kyle Noke: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanKyle Noke
Total UFC Fights114
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO1 0521 053
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman's 7-fight experience advantage (11 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ed Herman for the expected result. Had Kyle Noke pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +24Kyle Noke: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanKyle Noke
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0321 039
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +66Kyle Noke: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanKyle Noke
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:154:15
Win Type ELO1 2901 167
ELO Change+66-40
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +21Kyle Noke: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanKyle Noke
Significant Strikes Landed212
Significant Strikes Attempted613
Total Strikes Landed419
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1791 142
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Kyle Noke controlled the striking through superior volume (19 vs 4 total strikes), significant strike advantage (12 vs 2), superior accuracy (92.3% vs 33.3%). However, since Kyle Noke lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ed Herman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +75Kyle Noke: -75

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanKyle Noke
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time0:123:25
Ground Strikes Landed19
Ground ELO1 1921 177
ELO Change+75-75
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman controlled Kyle Noke on the ground with 1 takedown, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +71Kyle Noke: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanKyle Noke
Days Since Last Fight71169
Activity ELO1 1391 091
ELO Change+71-24
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 71 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Ed Herman capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Noke's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +29Kyle Noke: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanKyle Noke
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0511 051
ELO Change+29-24
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Noke is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +24Kyle Noke: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanKyle Noke
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0321 039
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.