Ed Herman vs Mike Rodriguez

September 11, 2020

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1130
(+25)
Ed Herman
Winner: Ed Herman
Submission
Round 3 • 2:41

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ed Herman+25
Mike Rodriguez-23
997
(-23)
Mike Rodriguez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +26Mike Rodriguez: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanMike Rodriguez
Total UFC Fights246
Experience Gap18-18
Experience ELO1 094984
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman's 18-fight experience advantage (24 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ed Herman for the expected result. Had Mike Rodriguez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +19Mike Rodriguez: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanMike Rodriguez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 058982
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +33Mike Rodriguez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanMike Rodriguez
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:412:41
Win Type ELO1 3171 083
ELO Change+33-22
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:41, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Mike Rodriguez was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +19Mike Rodriguez: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanMike Rodriguez
Significant Strikes Landed4089
Significant Strikes Attempted73124
Total Strikes Landed51114
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO1 1111 035
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Mike Rodriguez controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (114 vs 51 total strikes), significant strike advantage (89 vs 40), superior accuracy (71.8% vs 54.8%), 2 knockdowns. However, since Mike Rodriguez lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ed Herman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +47Mike Rodriguez: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanMike Rodriguez
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted41
Ground Control Time4:093:16
Ground Strikes Landed07
Ground ELO1 132918
ELO Change+47-47
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman controlled Mike Rodriguez on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:09 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +13Mike Rodriguez: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanMike Rodriguez
Days Since Last Fight30821
Activity ELO1 1741 002
ELO Change+13-13
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman demonstrated standard activity with 308 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Ed Herman capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Rodriguez's 21-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +22Mike Rodriguez: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanMike Rodriguez
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 093989
ELO Change+22-17
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +19Mike Rodriguez: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanMike Rodriguez
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 058982
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.