Ed Herman vs Patrick Cummins

May 17, 2019

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1085
(+39)
Ed Herman
Winner: Ed Herman
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:39

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ed Herman+39
Patrick Cummins-33
1010
(-33)
Patrick Cummins

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +35Patrick Cummins: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanPatrick Cummins
Total UFC Fights2213
Experience Gap9-9
Experience ELO1 0421 010
ELO Change+35-35
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman's 9-fight experience advantage (22 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ed Herman for the expected result. Had Patrick Cummins pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +21Patrick Cummins: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanPatrick Cummins
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021984
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +70Patrick Cummins: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanPatrick Cummins
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:393:39
Win Type ELO1 2721 089
ELO Change+70-32
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:39, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +84Patrick Cummins: -84

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanPatrick Cummins
Significant Strikes Landed1122
Significant Strikes Attempted3533
Total Strikes Landed1422
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 066898
ELO Change+84-84
💡

What Happened

Patrick Cummins controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (22 vs 11), superior accuracy (66.7% vs 31.4%). However, since Patrick Cummins lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ed Herman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +25Patrick Cummins: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanPatrick Cummins
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:040:10
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 066990
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +29Patrick Cummins: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanPatrick Cummins
Days Since Last Fight203203
Activity ELO1 1401 124
ELO Change+29-23
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ed Herman capitalized on this activity level, while Patrick Cummins's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +23Patrick Cummins: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanPatrick Cummins
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0511 005
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Ed Herman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Patrick Cummins is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +21Patrick Cummins: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanPatrick Cummins
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 020983
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.