June 15, 2007
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ed Herman | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 987 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:25 | 2:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 071 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -44 |
Ed Herman earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:25, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Scott Smith was submitted.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 045 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
Ed Herman controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 12 total strikes, 24 vs 3 significant strikes. Ed Herman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:23 | 0:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 136 | 785 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Ed Herman dominated Scott Smith on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:23 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 142 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 053 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -19 |
Ed Herman demonstrated solid activity levels with 142 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ed Herman capitalized on this activity level, while Scott Smith's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Ed Herman extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Scott Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

