November 15, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ed Herman | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +43 |
Thales Leites overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ed Herman.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 049 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 265 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Thales Leites earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 184 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Thales Leites slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 20 vs 14 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 37.8% accuracy. Thales Leites capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:14 | 11:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 167 | 1 326 |
| ELO Change | -86 | +86 |
Thales Leites controlled Ed Herman on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 11:26 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 154 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +56 |
Thales Leites demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thales Leites capitalized on this activity level, while Ed Herman's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Thales Leites extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ed Herman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 048 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.