January 16, 2016
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 107 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (18 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 066 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:39 | 1:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 306 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -38 |
Ed Herman gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 82 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 099 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +123 | -123 |
Ed Herman controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 32 total strikes, 47 vs 27 significant strikes, 57.3% vs 42.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ed Herman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 167 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 351 | 226 |
| Activity ELO | 1 180 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Ed Herman demonstrated standard activity with 351 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Ed Herman capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Boetsch's 226-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 094 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -20 |
Ed Herman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Boetsch is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 066 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

