June 3, 2011
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Ed Herman's 5-fight experience advantage (10 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ed Herman for the expected result. Had Tim Credeur pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 008 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:48 | 0:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 224 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | +147 | -55 |
Ed Herman secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:48 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 158 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -93 |
Ed Herman controlled the striking exchanges with 57.9% vs 45.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ed Herman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 117 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 644 | 626 |
| Activity ELO | 1 068 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -24 |
Ed Herman demonstrated extended layoff with 644 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Ed Herman capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Credeur's 626-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -24 |
Ed Herman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Credeur is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 008 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

