Ed Herman vs Trevor Smith

July 26, 2013

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1162
(+15)
Ed Herman
Winner: Ed Herman
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ed Herman+15
Trevor Smith-14
986
(-14)
Trevor Smith

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +24Trevor Smith: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanTrevor Smith
Total UFC Fights141
Experience Gap13-13
Experience ELO1 105976
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

Ed Herman's 13-fight experience advantage (14 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ed Herman for the expected result. Had Trevor Smith pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +18Trevor Smith: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanTrevor Smith
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 070982
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +3Trevor Smith: -3

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanTrevor Smith
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 318997
ELO Change+3-3
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Ed Herman receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +11Trevor Smith: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanTrevor Smith
Significant Strikes Landed7387
Significant Strikes Attempted129108
Total Strikes Landed127112
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 211989
ELO Change+11-11
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What Happened

Trevor Smith controlled the striking through superior volume (112 vs 127 total strikes), significant strike advantage (87 vs 73), superior accuracy (80.6% vs 56.6%). However, since Trevor Smith lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ed Herman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +14Trevor Smith: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanTrevor Smith
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted55
Ground Control Time3:183:20
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 253986
ELO Change+14-14
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What Happened

Ed Herman edged out Trevor Smith on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 3:18 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +12Trevor Smith: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanTrevor Smith
Days Since Last Fight350N/A
Activity ELO1 176988
ELO Change+12-12
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What Happened

Ed Herman demonstrated standard activity with 350 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Ed Herman capitalized on this activity level, while Trevor Smith's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +18Trevor Smith: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanTrevor Smith
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 094984
ELO Change+18-16
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What Happened

Ed Herman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trevor Smith is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ed Herman: +18Trevor Smith: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricEd HermanTrevor Smith
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 070982
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.