April 14, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ed Herman | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 26 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 033 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +42 |
Zak Cummings overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 26 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ed Herman.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:13 | 4:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 216 | 1 346 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +83 |
Zak Cummings gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 100 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 117 | 175 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 114 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 3 |
| Striking ELO | 978 | 1 328 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
Zak Cummings dominated the striking exchanges with 114 vs 71 total strikes, 100 vs 54 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 46.2% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Zak Cummings capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 032 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Zak Cummings landed 3 knockdowns followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 616 | 959 |
| Activity ELO | 1 126 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +18 |
Zak Cummings demonstrated extended layoff with 959 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Zak Cummings capitalized on this activity level, while Ed Herman's 616-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Zak Cummings extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ed Herman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ed Herman | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.