Eddie Alvarez vs Gilbert Melendez

June 12, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1021
(+30)
Eddie Alvarez
Winner: Eddie Alvarez
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Eddie Alvarez+30
Gilbert Melendez-28
1011
(-28)
Gilbert Melendez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Eddie Alvarez: +44Gilbert Melendez: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricEddie AlvarezGilbert Melendez
Total UFC Fights24
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0341 034
ELO Change+44-39
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What Happened

Eddie Alvarez overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gilbert Melendez.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Eddie Alvarez: +22Gilbert Melendez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricEddie AlvarezGilbert Melendez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 010988
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Eddie Alvarez: +12Gilbert Melendez: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricEddie AlvarezGilbert Melendez
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0081 046
ELO Change+12-12
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Eddie Alvarez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Eddie Alvarez: +25Gilbert Melendez: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricEddie AlvarezGilbert Melendez
Significant Strikes Landed3137
Significant Strikes Attempted64129
Total Strikes Landed4393
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0141 035
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Melendez controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (93 vs 43 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (37 vs 31), superior accuracy (28.7% vs 48.4%). However, since Gilbert Melendez lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Eddie Alvarez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Eddie Alvarez: +60Gilbert Melendez: -60

Performance Statistics

MetricEddie AlvarezGilbert Melendez
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted111
Ground Control Time3:470:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0501 017
ELO Change+60-60
💡

What Happened

Eddie Alvarez edged out Gilbert Melendez on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:47 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Eddie Alvarez: +29Gilbert Melendez: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricEddie AlvarezGilbert Melendez
Days Since Last Fight259189
Activity ELO1 0261 004
ELO Change+29-23
💡

What Happened

Eddie Alvarez demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Eddie Alvarez capitalized on this activity level, while Gilbert Melendez's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Eddie Alvarez: +24Gilbert Melendez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricEddie AlvarezGilbert Melendez
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 014989
ELO Change+24-22
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What Happened

Eddie Alvarez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gilbert Melendez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Eddie Alvarez: +22Gilbert Melendez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricEddie AlvarezGilbert Melendez
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 010977
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.