July 6, 2016
UFC Lightweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eddie Alvarez | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 201 | 1 285 |
| ELO Change | +104 | -50 |
Eddie Alvarez overcame a 16-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rafael Dos Anjos.
| Metric | Eddie Alvarez | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 142 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | +102 | -34 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Eddie Alvarez captured the UFC Lightweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Eddie Alvarez | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:49 | 3:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 202 | 1 559 |
| ELO Change | +175 | -82 |
Eddie Alvarez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:49, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Eddie Alvarez | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 226 | 1 444 |
| ELO Change | +173 | -173 |
Eddie Alvarez controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 12 total strikes, 45 vs 12 significant strikes, 57.7% vs 29.3% accuracy. Eddie Alvarez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eddie Alvarez | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 313 | 1 447 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -103 |
Eddie Alvarez controlled Rafael Dos Anjos on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:20 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Eddie Alvarez | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 172 | 201 |
| Activity ELO | 1 132 | 1 462 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -39 |
Eddie Alvarez demonstrated solid activity levels with 172 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Eddie Alvarez capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Dos Anjos's 201-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eddie Alvarez | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 092 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -34 |
Eddie Alvarez extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafael Dos Anjos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eddie Alvarez | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 066 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.