December 9, 2008
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eddie Sanchez | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 969 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +33 |
Justin McCully overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Eddie Sanchez.
| Metric | Eddie Sanchez | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 995 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eddie Sanchez | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 068 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Justin McCully earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Eddie Sanchez | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 100 | 88 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 94 | 114 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 943 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Justin McCully controlled the striking exchanges with 114 vs 94 total strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Justin McCully capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eddie Sanchez | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:16 | 6:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 962 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Justin McCully edged out Eddie Sanchez on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 6:34 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Eddie Sanchez | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 187 | 159 |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +41 |
Justin McCully demonstrated solid activity levels with 159 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Justin McCully capitalized on this activity level, while Eddie Sanchez's 187-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eddie Sanchez | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Justin McCully started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eddie Sanchez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eddie Sanchez | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 995 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.