July 22, 2016
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 028 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Eddie Wineland's 4-fight experience advantage (9 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Eddie Wineland for the expected result. Had Frankie Saenz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:54 | 1:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 134 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +97 | -48 |
Eddie Wineland gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 129 | 116 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 081 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +118 | -118 |
Eddie Wineland controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Eddie Wineland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 1:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 054 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Eddie Wineland landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 364 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 045 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Eddie Wineland demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Eddie Wineland capitalized on this activity level, while Frankie Saenz's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 015 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Eddie Wineland started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Frankie Saenz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.