December 16, 2016
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -36 |
Eddie Wineland overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Takeya Mizugaki.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:04 | 3:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 213 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -37 |
Eddie Wineland earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:04, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 176 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Eddie Wineland dominated the striking exchanges, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Eddie Wineland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 104 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 100 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -27 |
Eddie Wineland demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Eddie Wineland capitalized on this activity level, while Takeya Mizugaki's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -25 |
Eddie Wineland extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Takeya Mizugaki is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eddie Wineland | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 026 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.