September 23, 2011
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eddie Yagin | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Junior Assuncao's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Junior Assuncao for the expected result. Had Eddie Yagin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Eddie Yagin | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eddie Yagin | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 956 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Junior Assuncao earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Eddie Yagin | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 26 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 164 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 912 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Junior Assuncao dominated the striking exchanges with 164 vs 20 total strikes, 63 vs 10 significant strikes, 70.0% vs 38.5% accuracy. Junior Assuncao capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eddie Yagin | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 7:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 44 |
| Ground ELO | 905 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -95 | +95 |
Junior Assuncao dominated Eddie Yagin on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:06 of control time, 44 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Eddie Yagin | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 1 466 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +20 |
Junior Assuncao demonstrated extended layoff with 1466 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Junior Assuncao capitalized on this activity level, while Eddie Yagin's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eddie Yagin | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Junior Assuncao started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eddie Yagin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eddie Yagin | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.